Monday, August 29, 2011

Krazy Katia

This is the Euro's solution of the atmosphere around North America 10 days hence.  As you can clearly see, there is a hurricane east of the Bahamas.  This is a very deep cyclone with pressures around 928 mb as per the model outputs.  The map above is a tendency map of the air pressures.  The brownish colors are height falls where the blue colors are height rises.  Height falls indicate lowering of pressures whereas height rises indicate the rising of pressures.  They very basic way to interpret that map above is to determine that the hurricane will move where there is the least resistance or lowering of pressures.  So based strictly on that map above, that hurricane would be moving westward towards FL then northward between the isobars paralleling the Appalachians.  The hurricane would then try to move into the trough or the dip in the jet stream over the Great Lakes.  Of course, this is just a static snapshot of a dynamically changing atmosphere.  That trough would progress to over ME and New England and "pull" the cane towards the weakness.  This would suggest another east coast type storm.....'tis the season!
Here is the basic graphic that is issued by the NHC as they monitor the development and evolution of what is now Tropical Depression 12.  This will soon be named Katia....and will most certainly need to be watched carefully over the next week or two.

In closing, from what I understand, Steven Strasburg will be starting for Harrisburg Thursday evening in his last minor league rehab stint as he comes back from Tommy John surgery.  There has been much debate as to why the Nationals are rushing him back from his injury so quickly, but truth be told, he is on the timescale TO THE DAY according to the organization with respect to his rehab.  They want to try to get him 4, maybe 5 starts in September and face major league bats to better aid him in pitch selection and focus on command.  And since he is on my one fantasy team, I say let's see what he's got!   I just hope the few light showers that should fall this Thursday hold off for his start.
Enjoy your Tuesday!

Smitty

AA:  Watching tropical depression 12 that will become Katia in a day or two.  Must be watched!  As should Strasburg as he comes to Harrisburg Thursday.  Too bad there is a fantasy draft that evening!

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