Tuesday, December 8, 2015

Record Warmth Looming For This Weekend

Although most of you are fully aware of the mild weather of recent days and weeks, I am now in strong belief that this Sunday we will likely set a record max for KMDT.  The record is 63°F set in 1948.  63°F seems like a reasonable target given the synoptic set-up.  Please allow me to set the stage...First the 500 mb heights from normal; quite mild aloft for us here in PA Sunday!
Next, the 850 mb temperature anomaly.  Remember, these are the temps up about 1 mile above the surface of the earth here in PA.  15°C is about ~30°F above normal for this time of year!  Cookin'...
Here is the very strong jet supporting warm air advection into these parts as well...note that our air originates "Where the stars at night are big and bright.... deep in the heart of Texas"!
This 5 day 850 mb anomaly ending the 15th of December does not bode well for my skiing compadres in the north country!
With just even a little downsloping WNW wind, we should top out in the mid 60s barring any appreciable precip between now and Sunday.  The Euro "ties" us; I believe the mighty Euro is underdone by 2-4°F.  We will see what we will see...I can't believe I'm rooting on a record max for December!  Man, I must be getting old!
By the way, just for kicks and giggles and to graphically depict how mild it truly has been...here is the last 45 days...Wow!  Note the Great Salt Lake as an isle or mild!

But rest assured, the pattern WILL CHANGE sooner rather than later and this mild weather will be long forgotten once January rolls around...but that is a different story for a different day!  As for today, I leave y'all with this ditty...enjoy your Beautiful "Fun-day Sunday Day"!  


And enjoy your mid-week!

Smitty

AA:  Continued mild with record warmth "likely?" this Sunday.  Saturday will also be nice but the record max is a bit too high for our set up I believe.  Enjoy those young-ins!