Smitty's attempt to educate and to a much lesser extent, entertain, about all facets of life; but primarily the meteorological and the climatological aspects of the earth sciences.
The 3 warmest months climatologically at this latitude are June, July, and August. Well, to this point in the month, it has been anything but warm...take a look at the temperature anomalies from June 1...
But things are about to change as forewarned last week...summertime heat and humidity will make inroads without resistance over the next several days...and as many of you know...once the deep moisture/humidity make it into these parts, it will be until September until it will willingly depart...SUMMERTIME!
Here are the departures from norms for the next week to 10 days...
An east coast heat wave to be sure...here is a an easier day to day graphic for the predicted temps over the next 10 here in our region...focused on KMDT...
The green bars are the overnight lows...notice they are increasing. That indicates a major increase in in the humidity! Although the daytime maxes are decreasing, the comfort index will become somewhat undesirable as we proceed through the week. Summertime! I guess I'll be initiating our AC next week; no more York County AC; simply recycled AC! In case you're interested, here is the 46 day Euro Temp anomalies based on its ensembles...check it out...
So Smitty, what does that map above indicate? SUMMERTIME! A wet pattern to develop...and they are in desperate need of precip in the SE states...in the SE quadrant of the USA. A persistent trough/wet period into the PAC NW...And for us here in PA, periods of heat and humidity and then a bit of cooling with normal precip. The biased is to the warmth...
Side note... I'm blogging tonight since there is no NHL to view and my Os are always BLACKED-OUT at my humble abode? I will never understand that...?
With all of that said...SUMMERTIME! Enjoy Norah...she sure can tickle those ivories...
And I hope y'all enjoy SUMMERTIME. Before you know it, I'll be issuing frost and freeze advisories, but that is putting the horse waaaaaaay before the cart! Enjoy these warm months! And by the way, GREAT AMERICAN ECLIPSE...Be there or be square...
Happy Week's End!
Smitty
AA: Enjoy this evening and Saturday in terms of both heat and humidity (or lack thereof!). Then it is suddenly SUMMER. Heat AND humidity! Norah Jones playing the piano is awesome; take some time from your busy life to appreciate!
As many of you know, though a Red Land boy by hook and crook, my Sundays carry me to Lancaster County for faith and family and newly acquired friends. Today was no different. But since we are now in the month of June, our church services commence at 9 am thus causing a slight change of our Sunday am routine. With all of that said, I decided to venture to one of my favorite venues for our Sunday noontime meal that I haven't visited for many a Sundays. That's when we crossed paths with "Jimmy" (the name has been changed to protect the innocent). It's actually been several months since "Jimmy", Kay, and I have discussed varying topics from politics to Pennsylvania; fermentation to family...you get the idea. Of course, at some point, the weather came to the forefront and I made the comment that the pattern is going to change; likely this upcoming weekend..."Hey, maybe I should blog about that!" Thanks "Jimmy"! That's the saga for the first part of the "help from my friends"...
It's been a cool, damp last several weeks...take a look...please understand 2 things; the map below is a 30 day average where 2°C is quite a deviation from normal and that includes a stretch of 3 days with record and near record warmth!
But I do think the pattern is about to change...but not until this weekend. First, we will endure another unsettled week with cold air aloft allowing for afternoon showers and even T-storms to pop from time to time...here are the 500 mb heights the next several days relative to the norms...
First Tuesday am...deep trough right over PA...
And that trough even strengthens and deepens by Thursday...
Even on Saturday, the cold air aloft will linger...but it is starting to weaken and pull back north towards Hudson Bay...
Finally by Sunday afternoon...boom...ridge and pattern change! Welcome Summertime!
And using my hazy and foggy crystal ball, it looks warms from that point forward...not necessarily hot and humid, but summerlike to be sure! I'm sitting here in my sun room WITH A SWEATSHIRT on typing this presently; not normal for early June. By the way, it's an Baltimore Orioles sweatshirt if that is any consolation?!? And the climate model seems to think we will have a summer...but I don't put much stock in the CFSv2...just my opine.
July...
August...
Now the 2nd part of the "help"...Jimmy always comments that he likes the music I incorporate into the wx discussion. In fact, I get more comments and feedback about the music than my wx insights...hey, that's all good with me! I'm glad you enjoy the tunes! So lately, Kay and I have been listening to numerous Alison Krauss tunes and suggested that the ditty below would be a good choice for the pattern change! Gone...Gone...Gone... (Done moved on) with this stubborn upper level cool pool for the last 3 weeks! And to that I said..."Good Choice Crazy"! Enjoy!
Summer Solstice Wednesday June 21, 2017 at 12:24 am EDT...just thought you'd like to know. Also, do don't forget about the Great American Eclipse August 21, 2017...see below...
Okay...I'm out.
Smitty
AA: A pattern change this weekend. After this week of cool and unsettled wx; summertime will return Sunday and for the foreseeable future. The mowing demands will slowly abate...then it's time to play in the creeks and streams with your 2 precious wonders...including your fido democrat!
