Saturday, October 19, 2013

Argument or Persuasion?

Earlier this week, I was subjected to this infamous picture which became the calling card for all of the Anthropogenic Global Warming crowd (AGW) and subsequently asked to evaluate whether the statements concerning said picture were argumentative or rather persuasive to the GW agenda. It was ironic that a couple of days later, I shared an article concerning the explosion of the diagnosis of ADHD and a critique of the content of the somewhat balanced editorial was "Very scary how agendas can trump science this day in age and brute force of will determines truth, rather than challenged empirical evidence".  Pure genius!  So one of my colleagues suggested that I "just write about it"...well maybe the big boy should be careful what he wished for!
In the classic propaganda flick where Al Gore (y'all know Al, the inventor of the Internet) earned millions by spewing fear and terror suggesting that many dramatic weather and climatic events were on the cusp of occurring.  Of course, the main stream media continues to perpetuate this myth by glorifying any and all anomalous wx events, in their singularity, no matter how mundane or routine they truly are when COMPARED TO RECORDED PAST events!  Hurricane/"Superstorm" Sandy is a classic example.  Sure, it was one for the record books; but to call it unprecedented is an outright lie.  Memories are short...how about the "Long Island Express"of 1938...devastating to Long Island, NYC, and New England and with lower pressure!
Or the 1821 Norfolk Nasty...same...
It's happened before...and, oh yeah, it WILL happen again!  But this year, where was the tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin?  2 short lived Cat 1 storms; that's it!  TWO!  We were lead to believe that there would be numerous severe hurricanes wreaking havoc along the Gulf and East Coasts annually.  Well?  Here is a numerical depiction of the total tropical cyclone energy in the Atlantic over the years; be honest and note the cycles.  Also, as technology and measurements improve, so will the ACE in theory.  We are now monitoring storms in the open Atlantic, 1000s of miles from any land mass whereas back in the day, well, not so much!

More severe wx will strike the US!  Not this year!  Lowest number of tornadoes in quite awhile!
The Arctic Ice will be totally gone by 2013...NOT!  Not even close to the melt off of 2012, in which there was still ample Arctic Ice...
And note the record S. Hemisphere ice...doesn't want to melt!
Heat will be extreme and record breaking...oh yeah?  The US reporting stations missed that memo this past summer!  Note the heat, however, during the great "Dust-Bowl" Days!
Due to extreme heat, western wildfires will ravish the landscape.  Not happening as evidenced by the National Interagency Fire Center...here is their data...
Crop yields will be greatly diminished by drought and heat stress...I'm just using corn as an example as the corn plant is very INTOLERANT to lack of water and high heat as what Al the AGW guru suggested would be the mainstay of wx conditions in the corn belt of the USA by now!
Wow!  Corn must like GW!  OK...I've ranted long enough, and I think most of you know how I feel about this AGENDA DRIVEN ideology anyway.  This really sums up my thoughts:  from Ecclesiastes 1...

What do people gain from all their labors
    at which they toil under the sun?
Generations come and generations go,
    but the earth remains forever. 
The sun rises and the sun sets,
    and hurries back to where it rises.
The wind blows to the south
    and turns to the north;
round and round it goes,
    ever returning on its course.
All streams flow into the sea,
    yet the sea is never full.
To the place the streams come from,
    there they return again.
What has been will be again,
    what has been done will be done again;

    there is nothing new under the sun.

And come mid-week this week, many of you will be wishing for global warmth as the feel of late autumn will be invading these parts...here is the Euro's depiction of the 850 mb temps by Wed. pm...huge Lake Effect outbreak in Michigan is a given if this verifies...the UPers will be in their glory!
I'll get back to y'all later on the upcoming wx this week, but I believe Monday will be the last mild day of this autumn season as a turn to a general trough over the central and eastern US will lead to below normal temps for sometime to come...and the norms are decreasing rather rapidly at this point!

By the way, congrats to the teams and coaches from both East High and CD for nice wins again on the gridiron last evening!  East has a tough one next week vs Chambersburg; CD better not look past Carlisle for the regular season finale vs the sister school.  That last week will be intriguing!

OK...off to PF to really wake me up for my upcoming Saturday.  Hope y'all enjoy your weekend...and as always, thanks for humoring me by reading this Argument or Persuasion?  I'll let Tommy James and The Shondells decide...
Enjoy the week's end!

Smitty

AA:  A rant on man-induced global warming.  But it will be getting cooler mid-week...MUCH cooler!