As has been the case for the last several days, we here in southern PA have been very close to a boundary in the atmosphere. Just to our north, the air has been reasonably dry for the mid summer month of July. However, from our area and points south, the air has had mid summer humidity which is typical and normal for us living here in the sub-tropics of southern PA. The modeling is suggesting storms will fire this afternoon in a much more vigorous fashion than tomorrow afternoon. However, as seen in the water vapor image below, the atmosphere may have trouble firing the convection as robustly as the models indicate. Remember that the black areas are dry in the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere.
Here is the modeling for the rainfall for Thursday:
And the modeling for Friday afternoon. Both of these maps show the 3 hour total of precipitation with the above ending 11 pm Thursday and the one below ending 5 pm Friday. Clearly, Friday would tend to have a greater coverage of storms, but Thursday's model indicates the potential for heavier rainfall. Either way, we sure could use some of these beneficial showers and thundershowers.
By Saturday, the winds are depicted on the modeling to be flowing directly from the north. This will bring in much drier air again at the surface and also at the mid and upper levels as well.
By Sunday the high pressure system that is responsible for this northerly flow will be centered over God's Country, PA, aka Potter County. You can see this on the map below where the winds are diverging from the center of the high pressure system. This will provide for sunny and very warm conditions over all of the state on Sunday. By Monday, this high will move offshore and allow for a more humid flow from the SW. So enjoy the brief respite of the humidity this weekend.
In closing, baseball fans across America will have their eyes and ears tuned to Yankee Stadium this weekend. Derek Jeter should be achieving a baseball milestone that only 27 others in the history of the game have achieved; 3,000 total career hits! No other NY Yankee has reached this milestone! Only Wade Boggs in 1999 had his 3,000th hit as a round tripper. Paul Molitor had his 3,000th in the form of a triple. Many had doubles, but most had singles. Of course, Pete Rose and Ty Cobb are the only 2 players to have achieved 4,000 hits in their careers! Hammerin' Hank, Stan the Man, and Tris Speaker round out the top 5. Whether Jeter attains his 3,000th hit Thursday, Friday, Saturday, or Sunday, he will tie many fans' favorite all-time Pittsburgh Pirate; Roberto Clemente! Barring further injury this year, Jeter may actually pass as many as 8 on the list, but realistically he will pass 5 by the end of this season (Clemente, Al Kaline, Wade Boggs, Rafael Palmerio, Lou Brock (3,023). Conceivably, he could pass Rod Carew, Ricky Henderson, and Craig Biggio (3,060) who most recently joined the 3,000 hit club by a single in June of 2007. So let all of the talk of whether Jeter is the player he was or is he actually deserving of all the praises....it is what it is....and he is most certainly deserving of any and all accolades that are sent his way by earning baseball's prestigious milestone of 3,000 hits. You go Jeter!
Have a good end of your week.....and by the way.....go Tampa Bay Rays!
Smitty
AA: Showers Thursday and Friday will lead to a drier, but not much cooler weekend. But the air should be less humid. Baseball history to be made this weekend in Yankee Stadium and I don't think it will be 4 consecutive no-hitters by Tampa Bay pitchers!
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