Weatherwise, we will have an U-G-LEE week as the tropical moisture fetch streams northeastward from the remnants of Lee. Poised just to our west this morning is a strong frontal boundary separating very humid air to the east (we are in the soup this am) and very autumnal air to the west. You can clearly see this divide as per the water vapor image below. Note how the dry air has moved south all the way to gulf coast of western LA and TX! At DFW the winds are northerly at 20 gusting to 40 with a dewpoint of 45 as of 6 am! Shreveport, LA has similar surface conditions. remember, the black is very dry whereas the white is very wet in the middle and upper levels of the atmosphere. That large moisture blob is moving northeast and WILL affect our wx here in PA for most of the upcoming week.
Here is the latest computer generated precip for the eastern US as per the GFS through next weekend. Look at that bulls eye of 10+" rainfall over central PA! I guess some sump pumps will be getting a workout this week.....ouch!
You can also see the path of Katia and that the GFS keeps this storm well offshore....and that is a good thing. But not all of the modeling is in agreement as the Canadian (Reggie is its nickname in the meteo circles (GGEM)) clearly has an east coast situation that the people of NJ, LI, and New England just don't want to see! This map is progged for Friday afternoon!
And Katia is beginning to strengthen quite nicely as it has moved into a very favorable location atmospherically overnight....take a look at this Cat 2 storm with a beautiful eye! This is an IR pic, the visible is not as contrasting due to the sun angle at this early time of day. But I'll post it anyway....
Here is the visible cloud shot of Katia early Labor Day morning.....
So lots of wx this week. As the week progresses, we will see how Katia pans out for the northeast US. It is still not out of the question that this storm does DIRECTLY affect NJ or points north. And if you believe the UKMET, the Outer Banks of NC are not out of harms way as of this posting. But the official wx map from the NWS looks something like this for Friday this week with Katia moving away from the US Mainland. Time will tell......
So wild is the weather word this week. Wild like the Phillies game on Sunday in south FL where the Marlins left 23 on base in the 14 inning marathon. But the real story of that game is that replay has now been made arbitrarily the manner in which to judge and officiate ALL calls, not just home runs! Cowboy Joe West seems to think that "after further review" should not be relegated to the NFL any longer. Charlie seemed to think that was not kosher and was asked to leave the game without West listening to any of his rationale! Charlie played the game in protest. And now we wait and see what the spineless commissioner will do...but the Phillies should have won the game by regulation as they were a lofty 2 for 12 with runners in scoring position! Oh well.......
You go Charlie!
Have a great Labor Day....albeit a wet one. Etters is reporting 1.56" so far thanks to the overnight storms! The week long deluge has begun....
Smitty
AA: Wet week with tropical remnants of Lee affecting us with the potential of easily seeing 6" of rain by Friday. Hoping that Katia stays out to see. Phils in a lengthy game played under protest yesterday in Miami.
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