8 Runs in a Row!

No...not anything to do with baseball!  If one wants a model of consistency, the Euro has been ROCK SOLID!  Eight runs in a row...and it has BY FAR been the most consistent in solving the complexities of this upcoming weekend and early next weeks storm!  Here is the Euro's depicted rainfall through Monday evening!  By the way...there could still be 1-3" piled on top of that north of the Mason Dixon line...easily.....by the time this is all said and done!

And here is the Euro's location of the storm for Monday evening!  Wow!

Switching gears to the purely tropical model that is touted by the NOAA agency of the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Lab (GFDL), this would be an ugly story for the MD and DE beaches with a major storm surge up the DE Bay all the way to Wilmington and Philly!  Trenton would even see copious surge!  This map is valid Monday morning...

And note the wind field associated with Sandy...you can clearly mark the track as predicted by the GFDL model...we would experience 60+ mph gusts back here in central PA if this would verify...Wow!

This is far from a done deal...but again the Euro has maintained her course!  By tomorrow, the global modeling should begin to gather consensus as to how this extremely complex set of atmospheric variables will resolve themselves in what we experience as the sensible wx.  Sandy, currently a Cat 2 just north of Cuba interacting with one of the fiercest troughs one could imagine for late October...very interesting!  I've got chills...they're multiplyin'...I'll let Danny and Sandy take it from there...

Enjoy your Thursday.....

Smitty

AA:  Looking more and more like we will experience one heckuva storm late this weekend into Tuesday......