Carpe Diem and Weather (of Course)

Hey...it's the FIRST SATURDAY IN MAY!  That means none other than weddings and DERBY DAY!  Carpe Diem (2) on top of Upstart (19) and Frosted (15)...go ahead, box 'em up and tell me Sunday morning how your ebet account has fared...ha!  Just trying to get a heartbeat utilizing yet another tactic as opposed to the mundane workout routine of "long, slow cardio".

OK...onto the weather.  As I mentioned last week, warm air is on the move.  This upcoming week looks to be quite warm in these parts as shown by the GFS averaging the next 5 days.

For many, this will be welcomed as the last 10 days of April have been quite cool east of the Mississippi with the lone exception of Florida...

And with the warmth comes "summer-like" weather as eyes will be focused off the SE coast with the development of POSSIBLY our 1st named tropical system of the year.  Not thinking this will earn a name or even should, but seeing that it is forming over abnormally warm waters off the FL-GA coast with a closed circulation cut from the jet, it just may earn at least a TD number.  Time will tell.  All of the global models are seeing it and have been for several days now.  Let's take a look...these are all forecasts for the late Thursday into Friday time frame...

GFS

EURO

THE BRITS

and THE CANUCKS

It would be nice to get some of that moisture up into the Piedmont and into PA but I do not think that is very likely.  We are certainly running a rainfall deficit of late and are sorely in need of rain to help things along during this critical time of the growing season.  Here is a precip anomaly map for the last 6 months...most would not have thought that we were this dry in south-central PA...

May is KMDT's wettest month of the year historically and with frequent frontal passages at this time of year, low pressure often forms on the front and enhances the rainfall along the east coast.  We will have 2 opportunities for this during the upcoming 7 days; on/about Tuesday and then again later next weekend.  Mother's Day 2015 might be a soggy one?

As for the temps this upcoming summer, look for near normal temps with the warmest weather coming likely in August and September.  I will quickly share June-July-August forecasts from the CFSv2 model that just ran yesterday...

JUNE

JULY

AUGUST

What I see in those previous 3 maps as I'm sure y'all do too is a wet southern plains.  That's good news if this were to verify.  Hook 'em horns with cool temps and frequent rains!  OK, time to peruse other interests on the worldwide web at this early morning hour.  Nothing like a freshly brewed cup of coffee (Caribou this am) doctored with some light cream while reading an opinionated but science based commentary on nutrition; primarily the effects of ketosis on the human body.  I know...I know...Smitty must have insomnia...

I hope everyone enjoys their FIRST SATURDAY OF MAY whether it involves the Kentucky Derby in some fashion or not.  And I'm sure most of you will most undoubtedly "Seize The Day"...subliminal implications intended!  I will leave you with a favorite of mine where in the 2nd verse, Mick croons about  this day...enjoy!

Smitty

AA:  It's Derby Day! Carpe Diem to win?  Warm week coming up.  Need some rain to keep that grass growing for my favorite lawn maintenance man!  How can you let A-Rod beat you...pinch hit HR in the 8th...c'mon man!  And only getting to CC for 2 through 6?  Ouch!  Enjoy your weekend my friend.