Smitty's attempt to educate and to a much lesser extent, entertain, about all facets of life; but primarily the meteorological and the climatological aspects of the earth sciences.
Many of you who are reading this have heard me tout that although we thoroughly enjoyed a late February spring-like spell of weather that there were signals suggesting that the first couple of weeks of March had the potential to be ugly. Well, nor'easter #1 has come and SLOWLY gone away...sort of...still gusty here this afternoon! And later this weekend into early next week, storm #3 of this 1st couple of weeks will be on the agenda, but over the next 48 hours, storm #2 will be upon us. It is clearly a case of the GFS v Euro...but the Euro is trending westward from its earlier runs. The GFS has been rock steady wavering minimally with its axis of heaviest snows. One major difference between #2 and #1 is the antecedent cold that is currently present and was not with #1. With that said, snow is more likely rather than not...let's take a look. First, how the Euro is trending west...
Euro last night...
Euro this afternoon; slightly stronger storm and clearly farther towards the continent...
The morning run of the GFS...precip much further west and a deeper low...
And the current GFS run...precip shield more tightly woven towards the center of lowest pressures...
The NAM is quite bullish on the snow; but this model will vacillate before honing in on a final solution tomorrow midday. It clearly states "be aware"...
A Winter Storm Watch has been posted from the NWS...that advisory is just that...a WATCH! One thing for sure, the next 2 weeks will not see what we saw the last full week of February. This is certainly a colder than normal spell for these parts next couple of weeks...
Oh well...enjoy!
Spring is simply delayed; it will not be denied!
Smitty
AA: Watching yet another nor'easter; less feisty than Friday's, but still a concern. I'm quite concerned about a phasing nor'easter early next week! One storm at a time!
