Double Vision

A very brief update as to my thoughts for this Sunday's snowfall.  I am becoming more and more confident that snow will fall and possibly heavily in the Harrisburg area from overnight Saturday into the afternoon hours of Sunday.  This should be a major winter event.  The reason that I am becoming more bullish on this (although we are living through one of the most wimpy winters I've ever experienced!) is that both the GFS and the Euro are solving the atmosphere's players nearly identically.

Here the GFS for Sunday evening.....

Here is the Euro for Sunday evening...

Clear my eyes......

When both show the same solution from this far out in time.....watch out!

I hope to look at this a bit more later this evening.....

Enjoy your Thursday!

Smitty

AA:  Sunday snow looking more and more likely! 

Sunday Snow?

Why not; it's President's Day Weekend and it seems that we always have some type of wintry weather centered around this time.  Recent memories of the Valentines Day storm of snow and ice in 2007 or the monster President's Day Weekend storm of 2003 argue that we should see some type of wintry wx this weekend climatologically and with this favorable upper air set up.  HOWEVER, the persistence of the winter of 2011-12 argues that we should NOT!  When I have more time to look at things further I'll brief y'all on a more extensive discussion, but as of now, here is the GFS snapshot for early morning Sunday.  If this would verify, we would most certainly be looking at a major snow event that would indeed be plowable (Bush) and blowable (Yokes), but fall short of memorable.  But when compared to this paltry winter, it would be the largest storm to date.  Here is the model depiction.....

Whenever I see the GFS at this time frame with a low in this position, it may even veer further NW which would bring in more precip, but also more warm air....but a low at the mouth of the Chesapeake Bay high pressure building to our north is a nice synoptic set up!

By the way, beware of just a touch of ice Thursday morning on UNTREATED surfaces; not the salt laden roads which we've traversed over the last few days!

Enjoy your Wednesday!

Smitty

AA:  Watching for a major weekend snowfall centered on Sunday.