A World of Ideas for this Weekend

I just thought I'd share what the modeling is doing for this weekend's potential wild and wacky weather.  First, let's start with our own Navy's model of the atmosphere.  After all, there are nuclear physicists in the US Navy....right?  It has quite the nor'easter, maybe just a bit too far east to cause real havoc in PA.  But it would be interesting!

Now here is the fair weather O Canadian.  Two high pressures over the Mid-Atlantic for Saturday.  Just cold and dry to be sure.

Now the Euro...I believe this model has been the steadfast rock of atmospheric interpretations over the recent years and usually has a clue from this time frame.  This would make for some rather ugly wx in PA, especially in the mountains where accumulating snow is represented by its 12Z run as of today.  Take a look.....

The GFS is flat with a storm, albeit 300+ miles offshore of ACY.  Cold, dry NW flow!

Now here is one of the runs of the GFS ensembles...it looks as if I hacked into their system to create this monster!

And here is the British Isles' UKMET run.  It too has a major storm, although not as cold as any of the above models.

And lastly, the "official" position as taken by the forecasters at HPC as shown by their surface map for Saturday.  It appears as if they are leaning a bit more towards the United nations of modeling and veering away from the GFS to some extent!

It will be interesting to see how this heat, humidity, and upper air trough resolve themselves this weekend.  Maybe when the Fighting Illini come to Happy Valley, it will be one of those mid-fall games where the State College wx becomes a factor in the outcome of the contest on the gridiron.  As we all know, that PSU defense needs all the help it can get because it is surely not getting any consistent efforts from it own offense.  How about an 8-1 Lion team going into their last 3 games?  Not too shabby!  Oh, but those last 3 games.....Nebraska, at OSU, and at Wisconsin.  If they would win 2 of those, then the Nittany Lions are legit and roar would be restored to their glory days of the years gone by!

Have a good remainder of your week and if things get any clearer, I'll be sure to update them on Twitter.  Follow me on Twitter @SmittysSynopsis if you so desire......

Smitty

AA:  The end of this week and into the weekend look very interesting!  Probably a wet and raw time through Saturday followed by a cold NW flow for Sunday and Halloween.