Thursday, February 28, 2019

Marching In Like A Lion

Just a very quick post this evening to update this 1st part of March.  Good news/bad news...Good news is once past the Ides of March, things should definitely improve in terms of the weather, albeit still a tad on the coolish side...no record warmth that I'm seeing.  Bad news...we've got to endure winter's final fury until things tend to settle down a bit...

First off...another quick hit of snow during the overnight into early morning that will make the Friday morning commute somewhat of an adventure I do believe...the Euro has been most consistent and the GFS just got bullish as well on the snow in the KMDT region...the graphic below is about as textbook of a turnpike snow that I've ever seen!
And temps will be stubborn to rise tomorrow, but the higher March sun angle will help in spite of the cloud cover...Saturday will also have some light precip, frozen style, but the bigger ticket is Sunday night into Monday.  Here is where the models have wavered back/forth, but the axis of heaviest snows looks to go directly through our region once again.  The trend for the Euro, seen below, has been to slowly shift the axis south...while the GFS is moving it north.  This has the POTENTIAL to be our biggest snowfall of the winter season.  Still much uncertainty, but the global models have begun to hone into a PA special...the graphic below does not include tonight's 2-3" skiff...
I will just mention...but no graphics...another coastal is modeled for next weekend!  But I will show this; the temp anomalies for next week at 850 mb (one mile up for better representation of air mass movement)...Brrrrr!  Barney purple cold!  Bright side? The means are slowly rising...and the days (daylight) are getting longer!
OK...enough...I said quick update.  Just get to the tune...In spite of the Harper signing today, I'm ready for spring and the crack of the bat.  Maybe one these March blogs will someday come from sunny Sarasota or Clearwater...or BOTH!  Enjoy...

I'm out...

Smitty

AA:  Cold and stormy for the 1st 2 weeks of March; then a break I do believe.  I'm not a fan of the Harper signing by Philadelphia.

PS:  Check your home barometers if you have one next week...just wonder how that 1050+ mb holds together as it advects SE towards the CONUS and PA.  That's the true "Arctic Slide"...






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