Thursday, November 8, 2018

A Notorious November?

As this current week has progressed, I have had many colleagues and acquaintances ask and comment about the possibility of snow next week.  And while I do believe Harrisburg will see its first flakes the middle of Veterans Day week, an accumulation is highly unlikely in these parts.  However, just to our north and west, a heavy wet snow does appear to be on tap as a cold rain will be on our docket with a few white reminders of the upcoming season.  But if you believe the Euro hook, line, and sinker, all of that would change by next weekend!  Let me explain briefly...

First, I don't think the District 3 football committee had this weather in mind for their first 2 and possibly 3 weekends of playoff football.  Here is the reliable Euro on its kickoff rainfall forecast for Friday night lights.  Another dousing of 0.75" looks likely during the games...
And that cold rain will be ushering in even colder but drier air for the weekend.  If just after midnight Saturday morning (late Friday night) the mercury drops below 40°F, then I believe Saturday will be our first day this fall where temps remain in the 30s all day!  A tad early for that type of chill.  A large sprawling area of arctic high pressure will be pushing SE to keep us cold and dry for this weekend!  Take a look...
Sunday am will be a cold start in these parts...our coldest to this point if the winds go calm to be sure...take a look...
That big arctic high pressure is bringing with it some deep anomalous chill from O Canada.  The map below indicates the 5 day average of the temps above the surface by one mile.  That source of chill will be our cold air mass for most of next week...

And just for kicks and giggles...take a look at this solution for next Friday and Friday night...we are two weeks before Thanksgiving; not Christmas!
And note how the Euro sees the snow on the ground for the lows a day or two after...kinda cool!  19°F in the suburbs of DC in mid November I gotta see!
OK...enough said.  I'll leave y'all with this apropos tune...Enjoy!


And enjoy this Veterans Day weekend!  I'm out...

Smitty

AA:  Another rainy Friday evening followed by winter type cold with more cold rain next week and possibly, not likely...yet...and slushy accumulation next Friday-Saturday time frame!


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