Thursday, December 28, 2017

Overnight Euro Run Is For Winter Wx Lovers

I'll be brief this morning as we have a busy day upcoming with Kay's family.  Clearly, y'all know its cold and it actually getting colder before it warms the 2nd week of January.  As I've been mentioning, the cold is the easy part of the weather forecasts; the precip potential is a whole other ballgame.  Although a week out on the Euro modeling, a significant snowfall is now appearing somewhat consistently for our region the middle to end of next week followed by brutal cold (the dreaded "polar vortex" (cue the horror music)).  Frankly, it's quite cold in these parts and temps are bottoming out at rather low levels WITHOUT any snow on the ground.  That shows how impressive this arctic discharge has been and will continue to be into the longer term.  Here are the lows this am. Note the "balmy" 14°F in Erie along with their 103"+ of December snows!
Now, a brief tour of graphics for next week.  First the mid-level 500 mb anomaly...
And the brutal cold associated with this dense cold air..

Compliments of a highly amplified jet stream...
Potentially developing a nor'easter...
Here is a graphic representation of the next 10 days in terms of very cold temps (not reaching 32°F in next 10 days!) and snowfall...this is likely the worst winter will offer in terms of temps; likely not for snows...
OK...gotta run.  Enjoy your Thursday; the 362nd day of 2017!  And please enjoy this...

Happy New Year!

Smitty

AA:  Very cold and relatively dry (very little snow this weekend) until next week when there is a real potential for a major snowfall and below zero temps with freshly fallen snows.  Happy New Year fantasy champ...BY ONE POINT when the Beagles took a knee for their PAT!  Wow!

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