This Is One Tough Pattern

The modeling is everywhere!  Above normal temps followed by a precipitous drop to unheard of  temperature levels.  Run to run model inconsistency.    All of the teleconnections are contradictory with each other. Bottom line; this is one tough pattern so tread lightly...like walking on very thin ice.  By the way, that's how we played hockey growing up at times, had to keep moving over the ice for fear of it breaking under your skate!  Ha!  Couldn't do the 1-tap-2-tap-3-tap face-off thinggy.  Two guys in one spot for any length of time was a bit treacherous!  Global warming you know; soft ice!  Anyway, the one certainty is that temps will reach their coldest levels of the season in the next week or so.  Here is Saturday's temp anomalies across the continent; that's quite cold east of the divide!

But check out the cold forecast for later next week...ouch!

And by next weekend, the Euro has it cold and getting even colder.  Note the reloading to our west and north!

And the latest dynamical model for January is EXTREMELY cold as well...

But I'm sure some of you have heard of our first wintry precip potential late this weekend...well here is the Euro's take on a rather weak system with overrunning precip of mainly snow by early-midday Monday.  Since it is likely our first accumulating snowfall, be very careful out there my friends...especially if it hits in the darkness of early Monday morning.  By the way, come to think of it...it's always dark at this time or year or so it seems!  Sunset; 4:41 pm!

So I'll leave y'all with this appropriate classic!  Enjoy!

Have a good week's end!

Smitty

AA:  Cold and getting colder in the the next 10 days.  An accumulating snow of ~1-3" by Monday.  Next weekend COULD be brutal!  My gut call is a cold January to follow after a brief respite; but this is ONE TOUGH PATTERN!