Thursday, February 27, 2014

March WILL Roar Like a Lion

Much like PSU will once again eventually roar similar to their prime time years of the 80s and early 90s!  Although this upcoming 7-10 days of wx might be more fierce than the salt and pepper D line of Bruce Clark and Matt Millen or the bone crunching hits from LB Shane Conlin and safety Ray Isom, these teams were hard hitting just like this upcoming front 10 days of March will be.  For those of you old enough to remember those teams...well...here's a flashback from the Tuscaloosa Times.
Now I had to laugh when I saw this info graphic from the Duluth NWS this afternoon...it kinda looks like that one piece of ice is saluting the Arctic!  The other thought I had was...No $#!t...

Well, it is no surprise that this winter has been cold.  Look at the temps over the winter month across the CONUS for the months of Dec, Jan, and Feb to date!  Quite a cold winter in MOST of the US to be sure!  (-1.5ºC and falling with 2 more days to be calculated into this graphic!)
And the next 5 days will be more of the same!
In fact, as I pound the keys at this time, some squalls are being ushered in with gusty NW winds straight from the land of Nunavut!  The very short range model saw these squalls and depicted them nearly as they are now presently occurring!
In fact, even the global modeling (GFS) is suggesting a potential for record cold not only tomorrow am...(Gray area is sub-zero)
It is also hinting at record cold again later next week as well!  The record tomorrow morning will be tough as the record stands from 1934 of -1ºF.  The Global Warming agenda driven governmental agency (aka NOAA) will do everything in its power to protect that record low tomorrow morning at KMDT!  But the map below is also suggesting that another refreshed deep snow pack will enable record lows to be achieved as the records are much more attainable as they are basically in the mid single digits!
By the way, all of next week will be cold if the GFS is correct.  Again, you can see the model sniffing out the snow pack that is likely to be in place over most of the state and into the New England states!  Doesn't it look nice for spring training games next week down in the sunshine state?
But cold is one thing, but I know why y'all clicked on this...how much...how much?  Of course, it is too far away to say with complete certainty, but it sure looks like this will be a MAJOR DISRUPTIVE storm for many locations across the OH Valley into the the northeast.  The axis of heaviest snow has been consistently placed right across the KMDT area over the last several days (multiple model runs) which leads to a relatively higher than normal confidence forecast at this time frame.  Here's the GFS ending Tuesday morning...
The Euro is even more generous with its output of winter's white!
Please keep in mind that these graphics are derived by calculating a 10:1 ratio of snow to liquid.  The potential exists that the ratios will be higher than that, meaning an inch of rain would accumulate to ~14-16" of snow assuming the true arctic air holds it ground.  Bottom line; National Military Day will undoubtedly greet PA with an arctic boundary fighting fiercely against an overrunning warmer and more humid regime creating quite the winter weather ruckus in these parts!  (National Military Day?...March 4th).

OK...gotta go.  I'll leave y'all with a rather catchy tune from Dire Straits entitled...of course...Lions!  Enjoy!
I'll try to update over the weekend at some point...but most importantly; enjoy your Friday and even more so your week's end!

Smitty

AA:  Cold and getting colder Friday!  Slight moderation until winter roars back next week.  Record low temps on a couple of occasions?  MAJOR winter storm early next week.  Big time draft next Sunday evening! (with another nor'easter?...the potential exists!...different story for a different day...)

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