Saturday, November 3, 2012

A Classic Nor'easter

Don't look now, but the global modeling is coming into better consensus that during the late Tuesday to early Thursday time period, KMDT will be experiencing your typical cold season nor'easter.  Unfortunately, the ravaged coastline thanks to Hurricane Sandy will also be experiencing rather severe wx conditions that would make any mid-latitude cyclone proud!  2-3' tidal flooding above the norm coupled with onshore winds of 35-50 mph spells true disaster for an already pummeled eastern seaboard with no buffer from the ocean's hostility as the beaches, berms and dunes have largely been eroded.  This situation should not be taken lightly...let's hope that power is restored to many of the homes and businesses prior to the development of this upcoming wx event.  Here is the Euro's evolution of the storm from Tuesday to Thursday...

TUESDAY EVENING
WEDNESDAY EVENING
THURSDAY EVENING
The map above is actually a rather interesting depiction of what shows a cold conveyor forming and central PA receiving some rather appreciable deformation zone snows...but it is waaay to early to forecast that.  Just saying, this could be a sizable snow for many parts of central and northern PA north and eastward up through interior New England.  To be sure the White Mountains of NH will be WHITE and the Green Mountains of VT...well...not so much GREEN, but WHITE as well...
Once the storm passes, a vigorous NW flow will usher in cold air into our part of the country.  Look at the temp anomalies for the next 7 days...note the deeper blue in New England; evidence of an early season deep snow pack!
And snow is beginning to show in the northern hemisphere as seen by this north polar view of planet earth...
OK...so there is a brief synopsis...very brief...of the upcoming potential nor'easter that, if it develops as per the Euro, will wreak havoc over the battered coast and bring further hardships and heartache to an already fragile populous.  Once these forecasts reach greater consensus of the impending storm, a sense of urgency should and must prevail in terms of restoring power for these areas.  Otherwise, this storm will greatly compound the brokenheartedness already being experienced by a large segment of the greater NYC and NJ population.  Let's not forget that this storm will also impact New England as well, a region that also had severe effects from Sandy, just not to the extremes as experienced further south closer to the land falling monster!  Personally, as most of you know, I love a good storm!  But this is too much of a good thing....waaaay too much.  I wouldn't wish these weather woes on my worst enemies!
There was a fund raising relief effort shown on TV last evening my wife shared with me.  She mentioned the performance of a few of her favorite musical artists and I will share this with y'all!
Now its off to handicap the Breeders Cup races for 2012 being held at beautiful Santa Anita where the forecast is for sunny skies and 80F for later today!  A perfect day for taking in the "Sport of Kings" and enjoying the 2012 Horse Racing Championships!
Enjoy your week's end!

Smitty

AA:  Watching for a potentially devastating nor'easter to hammer the already beaten and battered east coast with heavy surf, wind, and rain.  Possibly/probably our 1st accumulating snow for the winter season of 2012-13! But as of now, I believe the bulk of the precip that falls at KMDT will be rain.

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