Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Astounding Extremes

I just want to share a few model solutions that I find just incredibly extreme.  There is no doubt that someone along the east coast will be pounded by wind, rain, and surf in the 5-7 day period from today.  But the million dollar question is just where, whom, and how badly.  Well there are some extreme solutions seen below...First one I haven't shown you yet for this scenario but do often in the winter months because it sometimes does "sniff" out a big storm!  The Japanese Model (JMA) for Sunday am...look at all of the rain!
Now, the Euro in 2 parts...note how the tropical system retrogrades back west across NY!  Here is the Euro for Monday evening...
And for Tuesday evening...moves right across NYC and takes Route 6 & 17 west to Buffalo!
And finally the O Canadian...this is Saturday night...just after midnight!
Here is GFS...a weak precip free front and a rather strong tropical system on the eastern edge of most guidance...I don't think it is a good solution because at the very least, this front coming in with its dynamics will create plenty of upward motion to promote a rather wet 2nd half of the weekend into early next week....AT THE VERY LEAST!
OK...enough said for now...other than enjoy this ditty about After Midnight!
Have a tremendous Tuesday!

Smitty

AA:  Some potentially extreme solutions for this upcoming storm!  Also a good tune!

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