Merry Christmas!

I'm simply taking a brief break from what I personally consider to be the best 24-48 hour period of the calendar year in terms of pure euphoria and enjoyment whether you are a kid of 1 or 92...as the songwriter so eloquently sings.  But as everyone knows, the weather takes no breaks and the models were running as if this were just another day.  But the celebration of the birth of the holy child is far from any ordinary day...that is certain!  And the run of the 12Z ECMWF is far from ordinary as well.  As you can see, the model run below has a rainy scenario for us in the Tuesday time frame as the upper level low finally ejects from the desert SW and spins into quite a gale center affecting the interior Ohio Valley and New England!  Check out this prime locale if we had ANY arctic air in place for us here in southern PA!  Just a bit too far inland to allow for a major snow event in the lower SQ Valley.

But not for places further west...say west of the Appalachian Mtns and the mountains themselves as depicted by the GFS snow cover map.  The 2 maps below show the anticipated snow accumulations through midweek...thanks to the storm as shown above.  I believe any snow southeast of AOO to SCE to AVP will not accumulate.  Rain will be the operative word for us through Wednesday morning.

But then the true fun and games will begin!  The Euro sees a major amplification and buckling of the jet which has the potential to usher in the New Year with a major snowfall event as shown below.  Once again, it is waaaay too early to get excited, but the pattern is such that I can now buy into this numerical solution!  Well Golly gee...isn't that a beaut Gomer?  That's almost as glorious as the 1st Christmas morn....well not really; not even close!, but you get the picture!  Can you dig it?  If you like snow or own a snow blower that needs a serious workout, I know you're feeli' it!

OK...enough of the excitement.  That is a week away.  It's simply a mathematical interpretation of the atmosphere's whims over the next 169 hours...but it is sure inviting.  I will close with this this video that I thought was a great little ditty by someone who obviously has too much time on his hands and is a master at video editing!  I loved it and I hope you do too!  MERRY CHRISTMAS EVERYONE...and thanks so very much for humoring me by reading my weather opinions!

Enjoy your Christmas night!

Smitty

AA:  The Tuesday storm will be wet; the weekend storm should be WHITE!  Merry Christmas my friend!