Wetness Worries

Earlier in the week, I was not as bullish about the amount of rain that some of the modeling had for the eastern part of the US for later this week.  Now, I'm getting a bit concerned for another expansive rain shield along the eastern seaboard in points inland.  Below is the most recent visible satellite pic from Tuesday afternoon.  Clearly, you can note the cyclone in the northern plains.  That storm and its associated upper air support will slowly migrate SE into the Ohio valley and become cut-off from the main flow of the jet stream which will be well to the north through southern O Canada.  It is that circulation that will pump vast amounts of deep tropical air northward into our area not too dissimilar from what happened 2 weeks back!

Here is the 500 mb upper air prog for Friday evening.  I do believe Friday Night Lights will be a bit on the soggy side this week!  Note the jet stream (where the isobars are close together) is flowing well to the north of the upper low over the lower lakes.

And lastly, here is the GFS forecast for total precip for the next 8 days.  Most of this precip will fall by Sunday.  We are looking at a 2-4"/3-5" rain event for the eastern portion of PA.  That soggy ground will then set the stage for what might be a return to some active tropical weather for the end of September and the beginning of October.  But kids, that's a different story for a different day!

I just thought maybe you all could see graphically what many of us saw personally!  This is a satellite derived image of the rainfall from both Irene and the remnants of Lee!  Ouch!!

In closing, I think that it was awesome that Derek Jeter achieved entry into the 3,000 hit club the same year Mariano Rivera earned the all-time saves title by passing Trevor Hoffman with 602.  Hoffman, however, does have about 2 dozen more "perfect" saves for what that is worth. I'm not a big Yankees fan, but Jeter and Mo have been teammates for 15 years and were some of the best in their business for their respective positions.  But from a Philly standpoint, I think Michael Jack and Lefty might surpass Mo and Jeter as to the best 2 teammates in recent baseball memory.....just a thought.

Have a good mid-week period.

Smitty

AA:  More rain is on the way....unfortunately!  Jeter and Rivera or Carlton and Schmidt...what do you think?