Early Winter Nor'easter On Tap

After perusing all of the latest modeling overnight, it is now becoming clear that a major cyclone should develop and spin up the Mid-Atlantic and New England coasts early to middle next week.  Although I am now confident a storm will develop, the devil is in the details as to how the sensible weather will evolve from this storm system.  I believe that my newly relocated Vermonter friend will get a blanket of white sufficient to remain until their mud season arrives next spring!  I sent him a message suggesting that scenario this past Wednesday and was thrilled with the prospect of such an event.  Once the storm passes, cold air will wrap in for the remainder of the week.  Let me just show you all of the global modeling for the time period late Tuesday afternoon.  These will be surface progs...1st the GFS which has finally come around to the other global models that have had some sort of a system for the last several runs...

GFS...it has a 999 mb low over Nantucket...

The Euro...it has a 994 mb just east of LBI...

The O Canadian...it goes a bit wild and really phases the northern branch pulling the storm well inland into New England...probably a bit too much overdone...

The "I'm Turning Japanese" (The Vapors...1980) model...the weakest of the bunch...

And this is how the Brits resolve this North American storm system...a 996 located at the mouth of the Susquehanna...

And for any of you that might have marine interests, here is the pounding surf along the east coast as the storm develops...Cape Cod and points north will be rockin' to be sure...

If time permits, I'll come back and try to hone in on the details, but for us here around KMDT, we are looking at a potential snowfall; however, I believe the snowfall jackpot with this go around will be places from Binghamton to Burlington...gut call from 3-4 days out.  Slop storm for us here in the sub-tropics...

OK...gonna roll, but I'll leave you with a tune I just heard the other day that really set my mood for the day..I really do like the Brothers Allman and their unique sound..."Now and then I feel a cold wind blowin' through my achin' bones...I think you'll enjoy...

Enjoy your week's end!

Smitty

AA:  Wet Saturday, drying Sunday.  Watching the coast for nor'easter development Tuesday-Wednesday.