Will Phil See His Shadow?

He may see piles of freshly falling snow if you believe the Euro for the end of next week!   Although Groundhog Day is February 2, a day that marks the halfway point in winter, the map I'm showing is modeled for next Friday.  First, the operational run from the Euro.  For those wanting at least one good snow, this might be your opportunity!

However, the ensembles from the European model string the storm out much more than that of the operational run.  The ensemble members are also more progressive and less phased with the northern and southern jet as you can see.  What is lacking in both is a large dome of high pressure over New England and southern Quebec...that does not bode well for a major synoptic snowstorm.

Here is the GFS for next Friday.  It too has a major storm, but is MUCH WARMER than the Euro.  This would be a wet, not white, event for us here in all of PA!

Speaking of wet, that rain from the past couple of days coupled with a mild Friday really put a major hit on the snow pack!  Take a look...Here is the snow cover last Sunday when the Giants and the Pats won their respective conferences...

And here it is as of today, Friday, Jan 27.

Wait until next week after this anomalous warmth that will be heading our way for the early and mid-week period.  Look at the daily anomaly for Groundhog Day!  The obvious cause for all of that warmth in O Canada and the northern plains (ND) is clearly due to all of the fossil fuel drilling that is occurring from Alberta's Athabasca Oil & Tar Sands and the Bakken Oil Fields of North Dakota! 

Look at how the warm anomaly and the location of these fields show nearly a perfect positive correlation!  Unreal!  Darn drillers taking away my winter!

Oh well...not everyone blames the fossil fuel industry on our planet's mood swings!

Enjoy your week's end...and yet again another mild week following a brief cool down this weekend.

Smitty

AA:  Looking for more winter...but it is really difficult to find!  Might actually affect wrestling finals next weekend...but that is a longshot at this point unlike the CD Rams!