No Change From Last Evening

The high resolution modeling is seeing no real differences from late last evening to this early Friday morning.  Below is the total event from the storm in terms of accumulated precipitation, the bulk of which will fall as snow around Harrisburg.  Again, some pinging sleet pellets will greet your awakening Saturday morning, but a general 15:1 snowfall should be/have fallen during the very early part of Saturday.  The map shows a general 5-7" coverage around KMDT.  Note the enhancement over the mountains of western MD and the Laurel Highlands of PA.

I will show this...one of my favorite quick hitters for info; the ensemble plumes.  It is interesting to note that the snow/ice line will be very close to our location.  To be sure, temps will remain below freezing at least until noon Saturday, so plain rain, in my opinion, is out of the question.  It is just how much freezing rain and sleet will mix in at KMDT.  I have both Lancaster's and Harrisburg's plumes from the GFS ensembles.  Note the greater number of blue lines at Harrisburg indicating a "snowier" event whereas the increased number of red lines indicating a greater threat of ice in the southern part of York and Lancaster Counties.

Here is KMDT...

And here is KLNS...

In any case, just be cautious tomorrow morning on any travels.  Conditions will improve by afternoon.  I will leave y'all with this from NASA news; a short 3 minute clip about some things you read on here from time to time.  Although somewhat biased warm (you must remember where one gets their funding!), I feel it is done rather objectively to discuss the CYCLICAL nature of climate on this wonderful earth!

Have a great week's end!

Smitty

AA:  A nice moderate early weekend winter event (mostly snow) with a general 4-5" snowfall....some places your way will top 6"!