Increased Confidence for Tropical Troubles

Just a quick Saturday am update about what is a developing potential problem in terms of inland flooding, coastal impacts (beach erosion and flooding surge), and widespread wind damage near landfall...wherever that might be!  The leading system of the remains of Gordon will set the stage for a potential large regional flooding situation in the Mid-Atlantic.  Here is the total rainfall as progged by the latest Euro by Wednesday with most of this falling now through Monday am...

Here is the latest Euro operational landfall location...Hugo-like if you recall...(ouch!)  The map below is valid Thursday late afternoon...

And here is the Euro ensembles...becoming more and more in agreement with each other, but certainly still quite a spread amongst the many members!

And here is the GFS operational...

And the American ensembles...clearly further north and east and hinting at more of a coastal nightmare than an inland flooding event.

Lastly, the total rainfall 10 days hence as per the Euro...15-20" of rain in the central Appalachians mountains would be a disaster for these places! 

OK...I'm off to Rock Lititz to meet some friends to do just that...rock Lititz!  So for my preparation, I'm going to listen to this classic as I hope you might as well!  Enjoy!

Smitty

AA:  Watching the rains this weekend and the path of Florence wherever she may travel!  I hope not up I-81!