Doubting Dennis

We all have heard of "Doubting Thomas".  I will not believe.  Well, I believe that the overnight run of the operational Euro has week 2 delusions!  Maybe a more contemporary analogy would be "Fake News"!   Call it what you will, but I will share with y'all what the Euro is teasing for next weekend. Here goes...First the negatively inverted 500 mb trough and a deeply anomalous one at that!

That will in turn spin up quite a surface low along the natural baroclinicity of the still warm western Atlantic and the quite cold continent...even if we miss out, New England looks to get a genuine mid-March nor'easter.

Big "banana" high ridging across O'Canada slowing the progression of the storm leads to copious amounts of frozen precip mostly in the form of snow leading to hefty accumulations often observed in these parts during February and March.  Ouch...

With that snow, the Arctic cold can settle over the northeast and delay the onset of spring fever for the masses...

I'm not buying this solution; not even for a minute.  But the pattern is such at this time of year that these upper air waves shorten, kink, and spin up some nasty nor'easters and generally mid-latitude cyclones.  The models have been all over the place the last several runs and so the daytime run today might have us basking in sunny and seventy next Sunday.  But the fact that the Euro has been pretty consistent with the upper air solutions with these deep troughs swinging through every 3-5 days (yesterday's squalls, for example), this certainly does raise some eyebrows.  But for now, call me "Doubting Dennis"!  Very interesting...

Enjoy your weekend and enjoy this rockin' ditty of times soon to come...

Smitty

AA:  A changeable weather pattern that might still have some nasty tricks up its sleeve.  A cold weekend followed by a warmer early-mid week followed by cold and ???...