Whoa Nellie!

Those of us who remember the classic football calls of Keith Jackson, well, that was my same exclamation when I saw the global models today.  No, I did not have Silver Finder in any combo...nor did I have him on top!  But one has got to love the deep closers!  (Tom Durkin must like them)... Just like the modeling today...Whoa Nellie!

It will take some time, but the modeling will be honing in on a solution of a rather stormy time in these parts the next couple of weeks.  We are certainly in a period of storms and more importantly, rumors of storms, but I feel quite strongly that this March will certainly be a memorable one in these parts before the winter of 2013-14 gives up her stranglehold on the eastern half of the USA!  Although it's most recent run is not as bullish, here is the GFS' take on the snow potential by next Monday!  Whoa Nellie!

And the most recent Euro is essentially the same...The Euro is finding the natural baroclinicity between the deep arctic air over Ontario and the strong SE ridge trying unsuccessfully to poke her heat to the north and west.  As a result...well...Whoa Nellie!

And the 850 temps suggest that this should be the case as depicted by the Euro...deep arctic air over the upper plains, mid-west, and southern O Canada whilst the SE ridge TRIES to poke NW.  Just ain't happenin'...as a result...Whoa Nellie!

The 850 mb level winds show a wave of low pressure developing over the TN Valley and moving ENE south of PA delivering a potent dose of QPF to these parts on/about Monday mostly in the form of frozen (snow) as the SE ridge tries to push the storm further north.  Thus, the max precip should be right over our region with the temps supporting snow.  Whoa Nellie!

And by the way, winter will still hold a couple of aces up her sleeve as the the 15 day 500 mb looks, well, just U-G-L-Y if you want spring to spring!  That is one deep trough!  Are you getting the picture....Whoa Nellie!

OK...well I've bored y'all enough...and possibly depressed some of you as well.  Didn't mean to, but the pattern is what it is; Cold with the potential for springtime storms.  You do the math!  March can be beautiful in these parts; often it breaks hearts for those wanting spring north of the Mason-Dixon Line!  Look for copious crocus crushers and possibly tulip tumblers...you get my drift?  

So this actually took some time to put together because I was looking for a "Whoa Nellie" call from Keith Jackson and I really couldn't find just one...so...I actually watched interviews with Bo Schembechler, Woody Hayes, Bear Bryant, and Joe Paterno with KJ asking the questions...what a flashback!  Anyway...here's another flashback for those of you who like some good R n R from the late 70s!

Enjoy your mid-week...

Smitty

AA:  Cold...and getting colder before it gets warmer.  Storms and rumors of such!  Monday looks likely for snow from this seat!  Still getting ready for March 9!