I have just a bit of time to simply put y'all on alert that all of the global modeling with the exception of the GFS suggests another slow moving cyclone will move up along the mid-Atlantic coast in the next Tuesday to Thursday time frame. The GFS also has a storm, but it is slightly further out to sea...This storm will be much more of a typical nor'easter, but any exceptional wind and waves along with the cold will be unwelcome wx guests along the battered coastlines of the Mid-Atlantic and northeast. I have not had much time to look into this, but snow is a real possibility even in the KMDT area, but as is so often the case, the exact path and strengthening of the storm will determine our precip type. This time of year suggests a cold rain; however, there is plenty of cold air available for an early season snow! Here is the Euro from overnight....Wow!
And the 500 mb height anomalies for next Wednesday...that is a deep and strengthening negatively tilted trough with a nice block to the northeast!
I will try to get something out tomorrow; more likely Sunday! This is Breeders Cup Weekend 2012!
Enjoy the week's end!
Smitty
AA: Watching a more typical nor'easter for the next Tuesday-Thursday time period.
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